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  • Best Brokers Worldwide
  • Brokers News
    Renowned Market Analyst Jameel Ahmad Joins NAGA as Director of Investment Strategy

    Renowned Market Analyst Jameel Ahmad Joins NAGA as Director of Investment Strategy

    Capital.com – Bringing Smart Trading to the Masses

    Capital.com – Bringing Smart Trading to the Masses

    Gulf Brokers Has Launched Its NewestTrading App

    Gulf Brokers Has Launched Its NewestTrading App

    SimpleFX is the First Forex Broker to Offer Chainlink

    SimpleFX is the First Forex Broker to Offer Chainlink

    SquaredFinancial Strengthens Client’s Fund Security

    SquaredFinancial Strengthens Client’s Fund Security

    Pound’s Slide Continues

    Pound’s Slide Continues

    Oil Rally Halts as Oil Stockpiles Increase

    Oil Rally Halts as Oil Stockpiles Increase

    Inflation Pressure Increases in China

    Inflation Pressure Increases in China

    Euro Gains Ground ahead of ECB

    Euro Gains Ground ahead of ECB

  • Commodities
    Palladium: Completely Reverse The Rumors for a Bubble Burst

    Palladium: Completely Reverse The Rumors for a Bubble Burst

    Energy Recap: OPEC Leaves Traders Guessing, Setting Up Volatile Move on Friday

    Energy Recap: OPEC Leaves Traders Guessing, Setting Up Volatile Move on Friday

    WTI Crude Spikes into Close Following Bullish Bloomberg Report on OPEC Production Cut Expectations

    WTI Crude Spikes into Close Following Bullish Bloomberg Report on OPEC Production Cut Expectations

    US Open – Waking From a Stimulus Induced Dream – Oil, Gold and BTC in Focus

    US Open – Waking From a Stimulus Induced Dream – Oil, Gold and BTC in Focus

    Shell Impairments Support Bearish Market

    Shell Impairments Support Bearish Market

  • Forex
    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐏𝐨𝐨𝐫, 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐆𝐁𝐏 𝐓𝐮𝐦𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠

    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐏𝐨𝐨𝐫, 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐆𝐁𝐏 𝐓𝐮𝐦𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠

    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐭𝐨 𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝 𝐑𝐞𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐨𝐟 𝐐𝟒 𝐆𝐃𝐏 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐭

    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐭𝐨 𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝 𝐑𝐞𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐨𝐟 𝐐𝟒 𝐆𝐃𝐏 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐭

    𝐉𝐚𝐩𝐚𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐞 𝐘𝐞𝐧 𝐋𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭: 𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐑𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞, 𝐔𝐒/𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐓𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

    𝐉𝐚𝐩𝐚𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐞 𝐘𝐞𝐧 𝐋𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭: 𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐑𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞, 𝐔𝐒/𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐓𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

    𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐏𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐞𝐜𝐡𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬: 𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃, 𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐉𝐏𝐘, 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐆𝐁𝐏

    𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐏𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐞𝐜𝐡𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬: 𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃, 𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐉𝐏𝐘, 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐆𝐁𝐏

    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐁𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐤 𝐚𝐬 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐑𝐮𝐬𝐡 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐔𝐒 𝐃𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫𝐬

    𝐂𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐃𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤: 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 𝐭𝐨 𝐃𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃, 𝐂𝐀𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

    𝐂𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐃𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤: 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 𝐭𝐨 𝐃𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃, 𝐂𝐀𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

  • Cryptocurrencies
    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 21st, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 21st, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 19th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 20th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 19th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 19th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – August 22nd, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – August 22nd, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – August 6th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – August 6th, 2020

  • Economic
    𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐓𝐎 𝐒𝐋𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐈𝐅 𝐓𝐑𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐘𝐒 𝐈𝐍 𝐇𝐎𝐒𝐏𝐈𝐓𝐀𝐋

    𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐓𝐎 𝐒𝐋𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐈𝐅 𝐓𝐑𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐘𝐒 𝐈𝐍 𝐇𝐎𝐒𝐏𝐈𝐓𝐀𝐋

    𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃 𝐒𝐋𝐈𝐃𝐄𝐒 𝐓𝐎 𝐓𝐖𝐎-𝐖𝐄𝐄𝐊 𝐋𝐎𝐖𝐒 𝐀𝐌𝐈𝐃 𝐒𝐎𝐅𝐓𝐄𝐑 𝐔𝐒𝐃, 𝐑𝐀𝐋𝐋𝐘𝐈𝐍𝐆 𝐎𝐈𝐋 𝐏𝐑𝐈𝐂𝐄𝐒

    𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃 𝐒𝐋𝐈𝐃𝐄𝐒 𝐓𝐎 𝐓𝐖𝐎-𝐖𝐄𝐄𝐊 𝐋𝐎𝐖𝐒 𝐀𝐌𝐈𝐃 𝐒𝐎𝐅𝐓𝐄𝐑 𝐔𝐒𝐃, 𝐑𝐀𝐋𝐋𝐘𝐈𝐍𝐆 𝐎𝐈𝐋 𝐏𝐑𝐈𝐂𝐄𝐒

    US Stock Market Overview – Stock Drop Led Down by Real Estate; Materials Buck the Trend

    US Stock Market Overview – Stock Drop Led Down by Real Estate; Materials Buck the Trend

    US Stocks Sink as Tech Stocks Extend Recent Decline

    US Stocks Sink as Tech Stocks Extend Recent Decline

    U.S. Stocks Mixed After Yesterday’s Sell-Off In Tech Shares

    U.S. Stocks Mixed After Yesterday’s Sell-Off In Tech Shares

    Biden Widens the Gap as Swing State Fence Sitters Take a Stand

    Biden Widens the Gap as Swing State Fence Sitters Take a Stand

  • Home
  • Education
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    • Elementary
    • Middle School
    • Summer School
    • High School
    • Undergraduate – Freshman
    • Undergraduate – Sophomore
    • Undergraduate – Junior
    • Undergraduate – Senior
    • Graduation
  • Best Brokers Worldwide
  • Brokers News
    Renowned Market Analyst Jameel Ahmad Joins NAGA as Director of Investment Strategy

    Renowned Market Analyst Jameel Ahmad Joins NAGA as Director of Investment Strategy

    Capital.com – Bringing Smart Trading to the Masses

    Capital.com – Bringing Smart Trading to the Masses

    Gulf Brokers Has Launched Its NewestTrading App

    Gulf Brokers Has Launched Its NewestTrading App

    SimpleFX is the First Forex Broker to Offer Chainlink

    SimpleFX is the First Forex Broker to Offer Chainlink

    SquaredFinancial Strengthens Client’s Fund Security

    SquaredFinancial Strengthens Client’s Fund Security

    Pound’s Slide Continues

    Pound’s Slide Continues

    Oil Rally Halts as Oil Stockpiles Increase

    Oil Rally Halts as Oil Stockpiles Increase

    Inflation Pressure Increases in China

    Inflation Pressure Increases in China

    Euro Gains Ground ahead of ECB

    Euro Gains Ground ahead of ECB

  • Commodities
    Palladium: Completely Reverse The Rumors for a Bubble Burst

    Palladium: Completely Reverse The Rumors for a Bubble Burst

    Energy Recap: OPEC Leaves Traders Guessing, Setting Up Volatile Move on Friday

    Energy Recap: OPEC Leaves Traders Guessing, Setting Up Volatile Move on Friday

    WTI Crude Spikes into Close Following Bullish Bloomberg Report on OPEC Production Cut Expectations

    WTI Crude Spikes into Close Following Bullish Bloomberg Report on OPEC Production Cut Expectations

    US Open – Waking From a Stimulus Induced Dream – Oil, Gold and BTC in Focus

    US Open – Waking From a Stimulus Induced Dream – Oil, Gold and BTC in Focus

    Shell Impairments Support Bearish Market

    Shell Impairments Support Bearish Market

  • Forex
    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐏𝐨𝐨𝐫, 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐆𝐁𝐏 𝐓𝐮𝐦𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠

    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐏𝐨𝐨𝐫, 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐆𝐁𝐏 𝐓𝐮𝐦𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠

    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐭𝐨 𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝 𝐑𝐞𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐨𝐟 𝐐𝟒 𝐆𝐃𝐏 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐭

    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐭𝐨 𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝 𝐑𝐞𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐨𝐟 𝐐𝟒 𝐆𝐃𝐏 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐭

    𝐉𝐚𝐩𝐚𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐞 𝐘𝐞𝐧 𝐋𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭: 𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐑𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞, 𝐔𝐒/𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐓𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

    𝐉𝐚𝐩𝐚𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐞 𝐘𝐞𝐧 𝐋𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭: 𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐑𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞, 𝐔𝐒/𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐓𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

    𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐏𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐞𝐜𝐡𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬: 𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃, 𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐉𝐏𝐘, 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐆𝐁𝐏

    𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐏𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐞𝐜𝐡𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬: 𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃, 𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐉𝐏𝐘, 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐆𝐁𝐏

    𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭: 𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐁𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐤 𝐚𝐬 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐑𝐮𝐬𝐡 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐔𝐒 𝐃𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫𝐬

    𝐂𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐃𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤: 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 𝐭𝐨 𝐃𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃, 𝐂𝐀𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

    𝐂𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐃𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤: 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 𝐭𝐨 𝐃𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃, 𝐂𝐀𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

  • Cryptocurrencies
    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 21st, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 21st, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 19th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 20th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 19th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – September 19th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – August 22nd, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – August 22nd, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – August 6th, 2020

    The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – August 6th, 2020

  • Economic
    𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐓𝐎 𝐒𝐋𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐈𝐅 𝐓𝐑𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐘𝐒 𝐈𝐍 𝐇𝐎𝐒𝐏𝐈𝐓𝐀𝐋

    𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 𝐓𝐎 𝐒𝐋𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐈𝐅 𝐓𝐑𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐘𝐒 𝐈𝐍 𝐇𝐎𝐒𝐏𝐈𝐓𝐀𝐋

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    Biden Widens the Gap as Swing State Fence Sitters Take a Stand

    Biden Widens the Gap as Swing State Fence Sitters Take a Stand

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Biden Widens the Gap as Swing State Fence Sitters Take a Stand

Trump sees the poll gap widen. Can Trump defy the odds once more? Time is running out…

September 21, 2020
in Economic
Biden Widens the Gap as Swing State Fence Sitters Take a Stand
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The Latest Polls

There was yet more movement in the FT’s poll tracker over the last week, as the news wires delivered more coverage on campaigning.

According to the latest FT’s interactive Calculator and polling data, Presidential hopeful Biden saw his lead widen, following a marked narrowing in the week prior.

The Challenger

In the last week, Biden saw his projected Electoral College vote count rise to 280 as at 17th September. As at 10th September, Biden had seen his projected haul slide to 263 Electoral College votes.

Significantly, the projection of more than the minimum 270 votes needed to win was a more positive outcome. In the week prior, Biden had seen his haul fall below the magic number of 270 required to take the Oval Office.

While the increase in projected Electoral College votes was positive, Biden’s haul still sat below a 5th August haul of 308.

In fact, Biden saw a downward trend through early September until this week’s rise.

Looking at the breakdown of the votes, however, it has been less conclusive.

Of the 298 votes, Biden only has 203 solid votes and 95 leaning votes. Taking away the 95 votes leaves Biden well short of the 270.

While this may be negative in terms of optics, Biden has in fact seen leaning votes decline in recent weeks.

Back on 5th August, when the FT projected a haul of 308 Electoral College votes, leaning votes had stood at 114. Solid votes had stood at 194. So, Biden should take heart in the recent widening in the gap.

Incumbent Trump

For the U.S President, the FT projects a haul of 131 Electoral College votes. This was up from a haul of 122 back on 5th August and last week’s projection of 122 Electoral College votes.

While optically these figures can be considered positive, the reality is that Trump has seen his solid vote projection slip.

As at 5th August, Trump had 80 solid votes and 42 leaning votes. On 10th September, solid votes slipped to 77, while leaning votes increased by 3 to 45.

The latest figures, as at 17th September, has Trump with 54 leaning votes. It is the leaning votes that have driven up Trump’s total vote haul.

Taking away the leaning vote tally, Trump looks to have slim to no chance of winning the 2020 Election.

As we experienced back in 2016, however, it is not so simple.

Leaning votes in favor of Biden and Trump total 131 Electoral College votes. Then there are the fence-sitters, classified as Toss-ups. Toss-ups stood at 127 as at 17th September.

As at 10th September Toss-ups had stood at 153. Back on 5th August, the number was a measly 108…

The upward trend in toss-ups suggests that voters are becoming less certain on which way to cast their ballot on Election Day.

The Toss-up States

At the time of writing, the FT had 127 states sitting on the fence. Classified as toss-up states, these are states where the difference in poll numbers between Biden and Trump is less than 5 percentage points.

6 states fell within the toss-up category, down from 8 states in the week prior.

The 6 states included Texas (38 E.C votes), Florida (29 E.C votes), Ohio (18 E.C votes), Georgia (16 E.C votes), N. Carolina (15 E.C votes), and Arizona (11 E.C votes).

Michigan (16 E.C votes) and Maine 2 (1 E.C vote) shifted in favor of Biden in the week, while Trump drew South Carolina (9 E.C votes).

For U.S President Trump to take the 2020 Presidential Election, he would need to take all of the 127 Electoral College votes sitting on the fence. Even with the 127, however, Trump would still come up short of the magic number of 270. This is assuming of course that all of the 54 leaning Electoral College votes go in his favor.

For Joe Biden, he could afford to give up 10 leaning Electoral College votes from his leans but it would set a dangerous precedent.

On face value, therefore, the odds remain heavily stacked in Biden’s favor, supported by the latest widening in the poll tracker.

Key States

If we look at the key U.S states that tend to be election barometers:

Missouri continues to lean in favor of Trump and the Republicans, with Kansas also leaning in Trump’s favor.

For Biden, Illinois, New Mexico, and Oregon remain solid blues, with New Hampshire and Pennsylvania leaning in favor of Biden. Biden will also be delighted to claw back Michigan in the week. Michigan had sat on the fence on 10th September.

The Road Ahead

We are expecting market sensitivity to the polls and projections to begin to rise in the coming weeks. In fact, we should see volatility pick up ahead of the debates that kick off next month,

As the polls begin to swing with a little more vigor, the markets will likely respond to the uncertainty.

For Biden, it remains an election to lose. For the U.S President, however, there is a lot of work to do.

Changing the narrative on COVID-19 and on the Black Lives Matter movement remain key. Projecting and deflecting may not be enough when considering labor market conditions.

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